Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.000115 0.000134 0.000155 0.000179 0.000205 0.000232 0.000263
2024-12-15 0.000086 0.000111 0.000140 0.000174 0.000214 0.000257 0.000308
2024-12-22 0.000073 0.000101 0.000134 0.000175 0.000224 0.000279 0.000345
2024-12-29 0.000061 0.000091 0.000129 0.000176 0.000234 0.000301 0.000383
2025-01-05 0.000052 0.000084 0.000123 0.000175 0.000240 0.000317 0.000413
2025-01-12 0.000043 0.000073 0.000114 0.000170 0.000241 0.000326 0.000434
2025-01-19 0.000038 0.000070 0.000113 0.000174 0.000252 0.000347 0.000469
2025-01-26 0.000031 0.000062 0.000105 0.000167 0.000250 0.000352 0.000485
2025-02-02 0.000027 0.000058 0.000103 0.000168 0.000257 0.000368 0.000514
2025-02-09 0.000023 0.000053 0.000099 0.000167 0.000260 0.000380 0.000537
2025-02-16 0.000022 0.000052 0.000100 0.000172 0.000273 0.000403 0.000576
2025-02-23 0.000019 0.000049 0.000098 0.000174 0.000281 0.000419 0.000605
2025-03-02 0.000015 0.000044 0.000092 0.000170 0.000281 0.000427 0.000626
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000040 0.000088 0.000168 0.000285 0.000440 0.000653
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000036 0.000085 0.000167 0.000289 0.000454 0.000681
2025-03-23 0.000009 0.000034 0.000084 0.000169 0.000298 0.000473 0.000717
2025-03-30 0.000007 0.000031 0.000080 0.000167 0.000301 0.000484 0.000742
2025-04-06 0.000005 0.000028 0.000075 0.000163 0.000299 0.000489 0.000758
2025-04-13 0.000005 0.000026 0.000075 0.000166 0.000309 0.000510 0.000796
2025-04-20 0.000003 0.000023 0.000070 0.000160 0.000305 0.000512 0.000808
2025-04-27 0.000003 0.000021 0.000068 0.000161 0.000312 0.000528 0.000839
2025-05-04 0.000002 0.000019 0.000066 0.000160 0.000315 0.000538 0.000864
2025-05-11 0.000002 0.000019 0.000067 0.000165 0.000328 0.000564 0.000909